Wednesday, May 18, 2005

Menya's blog provides analysis of news from Uganda

Menya Kilat at NGOMROM blog in the USA describes the blog as providing an "analysis of news from Uganda and what it means to democracy, peace and development in the country. It should give the trend of events and most likely scenarios going to occur in the country. Also featuring other countries with similar issues."

Just below Menya's profile section is this line:
"Promote peace and prosperity, equality under the law, accountability without victimization, education and health programs and communication between communities to enable commercial and cultural activities to flourish."
Here are three examples of Menya's thinking and writing:

Firstly, Menya's post dated March 18, 2005 entitled "Peace Related Work":

An excerpt from Online Journal of Peace whose web address is given below may shed light in why peace talks have been failing in Uganda. There is a general underlying effort to 'finish them off' that makes government to aim at capturing rebel leaders during peace talks instead of conducting sincere talks.

1. First of all there is no desire on part of the government to restore peace in northern Uganda.
2. Secondly, there is no clear assessment of the reason for the war.
3. And lastly, the venue for peace talk is not conducive to peace talk.

Below is the excerpt. Read full post
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Secondly, an excerpt from Menya's March 20, 2005 post entitled "The Die Is Cast":

The die has been cast. Museveni is surely running for election. But, more than that, it means that Museveni's plan to become president for life is now being implemented. Think of it: Why would Museveni change a whole constitution in order to benefit another president? The truth is that Museveni and his henchmen are not willing to leave power to another party. They would not change a constitution merely to allow Museveni to run. That would be risky because he could lose the election thereby installing an opponent to a life presidency. And that is not the aim of the demand for a change in the constitution.

This is a serious crisis. Museveni has been ruling Uganda for the last twenty years under dubious code names for democracy and each time Ugandans watch without as much as a simple raising of a hand. Museveni eluded detection by hoodwinking the majority to think in terms of northerners versus him leading Uganda. They say Animal Farm is a classic but that is an understatement. It is actually the bible of achieving power and keeping it.

As we approach the month of April 2005, here are the probable scenarios that will unfold in Uganda:

1. Harassment and intimidation of opponents and non NRM supporters as has already happened to Peggy Ntegyereize of Kampala, will become widespread.

2. People will lose their livelihood, then their homes as has happened in Acholi.

3. Then, there will come a spate of arrests and confinements in various ungazetted locations.

4. Next will come extra judicial killings then a state of emergency will be declared, elections will be postponed and all political parties banned forever.

5. As a result, many people will go underground, form factions and armed units fighting initially independent and uncoordinated guerilla wars.

6. And, finally, when NRM/NRA is sufficiently weakened, the various factions from all corners of Uganda shall unite to form the new Supreme Uganda Army, ushering in a new era of independence, equality and dignity and development for all.

Museveni will be known as the last tyrant Uganda has known.

All these may occur simultaneously or one after the other, but the fourth stage is the point of no return with a complete ban on all political activities except those supporting NRM. So, Ugandans can prepare to live with this increasing tyranny or oppose it with all the force in their power now and avoid traveling through all these six stages. The fate of the country is in your hands. Read full post.
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And finally, an excerpt from Menya's post March 27, 2005 entitled "Prelude to Disintegration":

Everything that is happening in Uganda indicates that the corrupt regime of Museveni is gaining momentum for final disintegration. There is going to be no guns fired. This is simply the peoples power at work. There will be some unscrupulous people who will attempt to hijack it but they will be crushed because the people have had enough suffering in the hands of various opportunists. So, if you are an opportunist, my advice to you at this time is to wait on the side until sanity has returned.

The Museveni empire/rule was built on chaos and misguided tribal sentiments and a horde of dissonant ideas:

- That the north versus south was the issue

- War in Acholi was keeping peace in Buganda and so on.

- That Acholis and Lugbaras were banyanyas and biological substances

- That only the NRA/NRM/Museveni could assure Ugandans of peace

It was divide and rule pure and simple.

The constitution was manipulated and doctored to suit the NRM but even then, it was pure brute force that kept Museveni in power all these years. And Ugandans, in their ways, have been tolerant of Museveni for various reasons, one of which is that they simply wish to get on with their lives. This is always mistaken for support for the existing regime.

Museveni missed many chances of becoming a truly great Ugandan leader in spite of the utter use of the military for his political purposes. People begged him and showed him the way, but he refused. Read full post.

[Source of material with thanks to Menya of NGOMROM blog]
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Update: See May 4,2005 post by Peter Quaranto in Kampala, Uganda: Footnotes from the Underground: Museveni's Third Term: A Test for the Bush Administration?
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Full text of the Queen's Speech

FT.com publishes the full text of the Queen's speech at the state opening of parliament on May 17.

Note, it includes the line: "My Government will use its Presidency of the G8 to secure progress in tackling poverty in Africa and climate change."
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New Links

Just found Peter's blog in Kampala Uganda [see above post re Museveni's Third Term].

Also for sidebar here, Interactive Map of Africa and
afrol news Interactive Map of Africa.

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